Archive for the ‘Conf Index’ Category

Here it is for this week…What a bleeping awful season Colston is having…ugh!

Here it is folks…I will be back with my usuals thoughts and musings on the Index.

This week’s Confidence Index has a couple surprises in it, one is how effective Devin Hester is becoming as a WR…

Devin Hester (1.37 – 21.93 – 264.57) – This guy is not really a deeper sleeper, but he’s still available in 46% of cbssportsline leagues. Now these ownership stats are dubious at…BZZZT…but Hester is still

Genius...and thankfully not a game show host named Harry Douglas

available in too many leagues. Hester gets better and better each week. This guy could be a WR3 for most teams, grab him, start him – thank me later.

Harry Douglas (1.11 – 12.16 – 163.67) – I once cautioned a young Steve Martin that I thought he needed to drop the stand up schtick and become a game show host. I also suggested a new name, Harry Douglas. One set of bunny ears and song about the greatest pop culture…BZZT…phenomena of the late 70s later – BAM!! Huge sensation!! I was wrong about Steve’s career (we’re still good friends of course), but I like this Douglas kid in Dynasty leagues. He’s a first year guy like Matt Ryan and is developing some chemistry with the kid. His speed obviously caught the eye of the coaches in Atlanta as he has a couple end around runs already this season. This kid should be the third WR on the field when the Falcons go into a 3 WR set; he will get his chances.

Demetrius Williams (.97 – 11.68 – 107.11) – One of the few bright spots in the loss to the Cots…OK, the only bright spot quite frankly. Demetrius Williams made the most of a bad situation by coming out as a threat for the Ravens. He didn’t have any big gainers, but early in the game the Colts could play a bit more conservatively and limit big play opportunities. This kid showed some moxy and should be a bigger part of Baltimore game plans as the year progresses.

Here’s the Confidence Index, I’ll be back with some metallic wisdom…

http://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=p7ek4K4zo0Ik5tVYyqi5BCA

Hugh Hefner is a close personal friend, and a good bleeping man. I’ll tell you, though, he’s a bit of a egomaniacal freak.

He got his start in writing as a high school student writing comic

Hef, when he still had a grasp...kinda

strips about his life in school. That’s cute, right – well the thing is, he continued doing this into his mid-twenties! Can you imagine a grown man writing about some fantasy life of his own? Sick, isn’t it?

Anyhoo, I remember the time I had Miss January 1974…BZZZT… and Miss July 1976 over, and we were playing Twister in my suite at the Torpicana on New Years Eve 1978. I have to say, Hef was the second most flexible person in the room. I ended the night with a beautiful session of sweet with the MOST flexible person in the room (January ’74 – natch)…But Hef had all his faculties until just a couple years ago. It makes me sad to see him set up with women who have no interest in him. Of course they will run off with the likes of Hank Baskett (1.45 – 18.89 – 262.98) , it’s embarrassing I tell ya. Why do I bring this up? Because Al Davis lost his faculties a long time ago and look at the mess his empire is in (I know, I talked about it last week, but it IS horrible), and I forgot to mention Miss January 1974 in my previous writings.

Greg Camarillo (1.21 – 20.53 – 258.39) – This is a guy who I don’t see ever setting the world on fire, but he’s a solid bye week start as a third or fourth WR. Pick him up and watch how Miami uses him. He has been getting targeted more and more each week, so Pennington is growing more and more confident in him.

Brandon Stokley (1.27 – 26.58 – 291.09) – Eddie Royal is hurt, Stokley has a top 25 Confidence Index score…Need I say more?

Bobby Wade (1.15 – 24.12 – 248.07) – Say what you want about Gus Frerotte , and you’d probably be right, but he is somehow winning. And he likes him some Bobby Wade. In the last two weeks Wade has been targeted 7 and 8 times respectively. He’s turning into a favorite of old Gus. Wade could be a borderline WR3 for you, but grab him and hold on. Play him when in a bye week bind. If teams pick their poison by throttling Adrian Peterson like the Saints did, then Wade should be receiving (literally) the benefit.

Here it is folks updated. I’ll be back with some analysis and wisdom…not in that order per se.

http://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=p7ek4K4zo0Ik5tVYyqi5BCA

Did you know that I once had the opportunity to run the Raiders for Al Davis? Seriously, it was 1990…Al, Sinatra and I were hanging out at the Sands. Al placed a bet on black on the roulette wheel, and told me, “Botty, if this lands on red, I will let you run the Raiders for as long as I live…” I never really had a big problem with Al back then. He made a series of selfish decisions which hurt the NFL as a whole, sure – but that was his philosophy, each man for himself. He made savvy personnel moves and usually was right more than wrong. He also called me Botty, which bugged the bleeping crap out of me.

Ay carumba...Ay bleeping carumba

Anyway, the ball landed on black, thank God. Davis yelled, “Bet on black – Just win, Baby!!”Old Blues just sighed and had another sip of his Jamesons.

I wouldn’t have taken the job anyway; my life at that time was pretty bleeping sweet. But the recent goings on between Lane Kiffin and Davis just remind me of what a mess Davis has made of that franchise. It won’t get any better until Davis is not involved…And unfortunately for Raiders fans, that won’t happen until Davis is no longer able to function. Very sad to say, I know. Raiders fans are a proud bunch, they dress like…extras from a bad Sci Fi movie, but they are loyal (it would be good if more of you showed up at home games, however). It’s a sad state of affairs, indeed…Just Grin and bear it, Baby.

On that sad note - onto this week’s Confidence Index…!

Josh Reed (1.89 – 20.81 – 283.75) – Now Reed should not be a free agent in your league, but he is a good sleeper candidate for a trade. Other owners may view his production as a fluke. His production is not a fluke. Reed catches the ball when it is thrown to him, 17 out of 21 targets, which is the basis for his impressive base Confidence Index score (#14 overall). Reed has gained Trent Edwards’ trust; I believe that will be paid off soon with a couple of TDs in the next couple weeks (that Cardinals game is looking pretty good, eh?). Trade for Reed and watch it pay some dividends, especially in PPR leagues.

Steve Breaston (1.18 – 15.36 – 229.27) – Breaston first off, has a great name…Now that we got that out of the way, the rookie from Michigan is worth a pick up. Yes, Breaston had some gaudy numbers last week, so he may be a popular pickup in a lot of leagues – but he’s one worth looking at. The Cardinals have some tough games this year. They have to go the East Coast 3 more times this year, and apparently their defense doesn’t like the East Coast too much. The Cards will be in some shoot outs, and Breaston has shown that he will catch the ball when it is thrown too him. Hold onto him, and play him when the Cards play a good offense, or whenever they are anywhere near the Atlantic Ocean.

Braylon Edwards (.713 – 7.85 – 67.77) – We go from one promising Wolverine – to one who is…I don’t know what Braylon Edwards is doing – besides making a size-able mess in the bed. shouldn’t have hung out with Michael Phelps so much in the offseason; maybe he shouldn’t have read his press clippings…I don’t know. But boy is he sucking. Now I am not telling you anything you don’t probably already know – but you probably don’t know just how bad he is sucking.

He’s been targeted 30 times…THIRTY! That puts him in the top twenty in the league, but he’s only caught the ball 11 times…His base Confidence Index is #148 in the league…ONE HUNDRED AND FORTY BLEEPING EIGHTH!! He has been monumentally crappy. He is costing the Browns games – period…Him, by himself. He is also costing Derek Anderson his job (yes, Anderson has been making other mistakes, but Edwards is what will get him benched instead of just bitched about on Cleveland Sports talk stations) At this point, you have to hold onto him, but I wouldn’t start him until he shows that he can hold onto the ball, and create confidence for his QB – and his fantasy owners.

See the latest and greatest below…

http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=p7ek4K4zo0Ik5tVYyqi5BCA

The week 3 Confience Index is up. I’ll be back soon with a couple prime picks - I hope you bleeping listened to me about Chansi Stuckey, look at the 1.84 Confidence Index rating #5 overall among ALL receivers, and he scored again. You’re bleeping welcome.

Visit the Index with the link…BZZT… below.

http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=p7ek4K4zo0Ik5tVYyqi5BCA

Some thoughts on the latest Wide Receiver Confidence Index…

John Carlson – TE – Seattle Seahawks (1.70 ; 17.0 ; 221.0)

Carlson is a rookie out of Notre Dame, and he’s one of the few receivers, tight end or otherwise who is not among the walking wounded for Mike Holmgren’s team. This…BZZT… guy is an immediate pickup. He’s been targeted 12 times, with 10 catches and 8 first downs (leading to his very impressive index number of 1.70. It’s just a matter of time before Hasselbeck/Holmgren go to this cat in the red zone. Pick him up this week and reap the whirlwind against the hapless Rams this week.

Ike Hilliard – WR – Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1.917 ; 19.7 ; 164.83)

When this guy was drafted in 1997, ER, Seinfeld and Suddenly Susan were the top shows on TV. I did a guest spot on Suddenly Susan, by the way. I played a washing machine in a dream sequence , I start talking to Brooke Shields telling her that her biological clock is ticking, to have a baby all that bleeping crap. It paid pretty well, and I reconnected with Brooke after we had a falling out in the late 80s. But I digress – Ike Hilliard is not putting up a ton of yards (only #31 when ranked by CI* Yards, but #14 overall Confidence Index – 1.917). Looking at Hilliard, this guy is a security blanket, but a damn good one. Hilliard is worth picking up if he is available, especially in PPR leagues.

Chansi Stuckey – WR – New York Jets (1.786 ; 10.71 ; 142.86)

Meet Chansi Stuckey, your new Wide Receiver

This guy has an awesome bleeping name. I just had to throw that out there. He sounds like a gambler to me, and that leads me to his QB. Brett Favre is a gambler, and we all know he’s in his element when all sorts of crazy bleeping crap is happening around him. Look at his last 3 off seasons for bleep’s sake. Anyway, there’s going to be a lot of passing in the fourth quarter for the Jets this season, and that means good things for Laverneus Coles , Jerricho Cotchery and Stuckey. Stuckey has stood out to me , though. While Coles and Cotchery deal with the increased attention from DBs, Stuckey has become a reliable target for Favre, and he can make things happen after the catch. Pick up Stuckey and wait to see what happens the next couple weeks, he should be on the field quite a bit as the Jets struggle to catch up in many games.

By the way Coles has been abysmal so far with a pitiful (.79 ; 3.16 ; 60.83) – horrible, wake the bleep up Coles!!