Early Week 11 Pick

I’ll have the rest tomorrow.

2 martinis
New York Jets at New England (-3) - Don’t look now, but the Jets are making some noise in the NFC East, relying mostly on a schedule that has been supremely tasty.  Their opponents since their week 5 bye: Bengals, Raiders, Chiefs, Bills, Rams.  That’s 10-34 folks, and 5 of those wins come from fading Buffalo.  Hey guys, you forgot Detroit!  Now don’t get me wrong, I like the Jets, but we really haven’t seen them play anyone recently so it’s easy to get filled up on the icing.  At some point you have to eat some cake, and well here comes the 6-3 Patriots, themselves fat from a bunch of limp excuses for opponents.  Who scheduled for the AFC East this year, Barry Switzer? Anyway, it’s interesting to note that the Jets have outscored the opposition by 65 points, the Patriots only 28.  That’s a difference you can’t ignore, and a telling sign about which of these teams is more “for real”.  These teams both run the ball well and defend against the run well, and that’s about it - so with those two units neutralized we’re going to need some QB play to pull this one out, and it’s worth noting that the first game these two played turned on a classic Brett Favre pick.  I’m not so sure that won’t happen again, but in what should be a low scoring game I’m taking New York and all the points I can get.