November 12th, 2008

Week 10 Recap

A very average week, 50% overall and on the 3/4/5 martini plays. Detroit really laid an egg on me, it’s a rare 4-martini game that I miss on that level.

This week: 7-7 (50%)
Season: 80-59 (57.6%)
5 martini picks: 3-1 (75%)
4 martini picks: 4-3 (57%)
3 martini picks: 8-3 (73%)

The “Merrill Hoge is a Spin Button” pick ‘em play of the week: San Diego = WIN

5 martinis
None

4 martinis
Jacksonville at Detroit (+6.5) - LOSS - We have a Maurice Jones-Drew sighting! Too bad Jacksonville can’t play the Lions every week.

3 martinis
Kansas City at San Diego (-15) - WIN - It’s all cool to make fun of Herm Edwards because, well, he’s obviously unqualified to be head coach of the Chiefs. But people want to get on Herm for the 2 point conversion try at the end of the game. KC is 1-7 and going nowhere with a chance to win a game they entered as 15 point underdogs. Bleeping right you go for it Herm and all the second guessers can kiss off.

2 martinis
Carolina at Oakland (+9) - LOSS - Everyone laughed at this pick but don’t forget that only a late FG by the Panthers covered the spread. Then again, giving up a late FG to blow the spread may be why everyone was laughing.

Tennessee at Chicago (+3) - LOSS - I said the Bears would force the Titans to throw. They did - Tennessee had like 10 yards rushing. But Kerry Collins took the opportunity and dropped the hammer on the Bears, which says a lot about Collins and the Titans.

1 martini
New Orleans at Atlanta (-1) - WIN - Well Jeremy Shockey is hurt again, and Drew Brees is pissed at him too. The more things change…

Indianapolis at Pittsburgh (-3) - LOSS - Troy Polamalu is one of my favorite players (depsite his hair which is ridiculous) but what was he doing on the Dom Rhodes TD reception that sealed the win for Indy?

Green Bay at Minnesota (-2.5) - WIN - Consider that the Packers gave up 2 safeties in a game they lost by one point. Sometimes this is a cruel game.

Seattle at Miami (-9) - WIN - Like I said, the Dolphins are having a nice season but they aren’t ready to lay 9 points.

Buffalo at New England (-3.5) - LOSS - Man, the Bills look terrible running the ball. We need to see more Marshawn Lynch beast mode.

New York Giants at Philadelphia (-3) - WIN - Another close loss by Philadelphia, even though the running game of the Giants dominated. Once again, early struggles by McNabb and late game boners by Reid cost the Eagles, a good team that looks like a real long shot for any playoff games.

Rotgut
Baltimore at Houston (+1) - WIN - I am killing ATS with the Ravens.

St. Louis at New York Jets (-8.5) - WIN - The Rams front office is starting to enjoy that the NFL pulled the plug on that whole “win 6 games and you automatically become the head coach” part of Jim Haslett’s contract. Although at this point I don’t think many wins will be forthcoming for St. Louis.

San Francisco at Arizona (-9.5) - LOSS - The Niners played a lot tougher than I expected and once again the Cardinals didn’t look like a contender. Lots of fantasy points coming from their passing game, though.

Denver at Cleveland (-3) - LOSS - I discussed this game a bit during the picks writeup. The Browns find ways to lose games, which is why Romeo Crennel is toast.

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